THE EFFECT OF INTERVAL LENGTH AND MODEL BASIS ON FUZZY TIME SERIES ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING
📄 Project Abstract
Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) forecasting technique is the amalgamation of fuzzy logic and time series technique. The critical issue in FTS forecasting is the determination of the interval length. This paper therefore, is a research on the effect of varying interval length and model basis on electric load forecasting using Fuzzy Time Series Model. The methodology adopted is presented and the data used is the load (in MW/MVA) obtained from PHCN over a 24-week period. The data for 18 weeks is used as the test data while the remaining 6 weeks is the validation data. It is shown that varying interval length and model basis give different forecasting results and that interval length five gives a significantly better result than others based on the quantitative and qualitative performance test. Furthermore, the results obtained show that model basis of four gives better forecasting result when compared to model basis of five and six. The results obtained are presented and discussed from the standp...
🔍 Key Research Areas Covered
- ✅ Literature Review & Theoretical Framework
- ✅ Research Methodology & Data Collection
- ✅ Data Analysis & Statistical Methods
- ✅ Findings & Results Discussion
- ✅ Recommendations & Conclusions
- ✅ References & Bibliography
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- Problem Statement & Objectives
- Theoretical Framework & Related Studies
- Data Collection & Analysis Methods
- Findings & Statistical Analysis
- Recommendations & Future Research
- Questionnaires, Data, References
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Full Citation:
ADEOLA KOLADE OMONIYI. (). THE EFFECT OF INTERVAL LENGTH AND MODEL BASIS ON FUZZY TIME SERIES ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING. African and General Studies, 40, 14858.
Citation Formats:
APA
ADEOLA KOLADE OMONIYI. (). THE EFFECT OF INTERVAL LENGTH AND MODEL BASIS ON FUZZY TIME SERIES ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING. African and General Studies, 40, 14858.
MLA
ADEOLA KOLADE OMONIYI. "THE EFFECT OF INTERVAL LENGTH AND MODEL BASIS ON FUZZY TIME SERIES ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING." African and General Studies, vol. 40, , pp. 14858.
Chicago
ADEOLA KOLADE OMONIYI. "THE EFFECT OF INTERVAL LENGTH AND MODEL BASIS ON FUZZY TIME SERIES ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING." African and General Studies 40 (): 14858.
Full Citation:
ADEOLA KOLADE OMONIYI. (). THE EFFECT OF INTERVAL LENGTH AND MODEL BASIS ON FUZZY TIME SERIES ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING. African and General Studies, 40, 14858.
Citation Formats:
APA
ADEOLA KOLADE OMONIYI. (). THE EFFECT OF INTERVAL LENGTH AND MODEL BASIS ON FUZZY TIME SERIES ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING. African and General Studies, 40, 14858.
MLA
ADEOLA KOLADE OMONIYI. "THE EFFECT OF INTERVAL LENGTH AND MODEL BASIS ON FUZZY TIME SERIES ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING." African and General Studies, vol. 40, , pp. 14858.
Chicago
ADEOLA KOLADE OMONIYI. "THE EFFECT OF INTERVAL LENGTH AND MODEL BASIS ON FUZZY TIME SERIES ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING." African and General Studies 40 (): 14858.
Document Details
| Author | ADEOLA KOLADE OMONIYI |
|---|---|
| 📁 Field | Electrical Engineering Project Topics |
| 🏷️ Type | Engineering Project Topics |
| Pages | 68 Pages |
| Words | 10357 words |
| 📘 Chapters | 1 to 5 Chapters |